{"id":17262,"date":"2012-12-27T03:20:58","date_gmt":"2012-12-27T07:20:58","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.jetnation.com\/?p=17262"},"modified":"2012-12-27T05:00:37","modified_gmt":"2012-12-27T09:00:37","slug":"ny-jets-draft-pick-scenarios-for-week-17","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/miletestsite.com\/jets\/2012\/12\/27\/ny-jets-draft-pick-scenarios-for-week-17\/","title":{"rendered":"NY Jets Draft Pick Scenarios For Week 17"},"content":{"rendered":"

\"nfldraft[1]\"<\/a>After the loss to the San Diego Chargers I am starting to think the Jets want to get the highest pick that they can and so far that would put them into a 5-way tie for the 6th pick in the draft. This scenario involves 7 games.<\/p>\n

The scenario<\/strong><\/p>\n

Jets lose
\nBrowns win
\nTitans win
\nCardinals win
\nBuccaneers win
\nPanthers win
\nChargers win<\/p>\n

If the above happens we’ll have the Jets, Bills, Browns, Titans, & Cardinals at 6-10.<\/p>\n

Current Strength of Schedule<\/strong><\/p>\n

Jets 120-118-2
\nTitans 123-117
\nBills 116-122-2
\nBrowns 120-120
\nCardinals 133-103-4
\nChargers 110-130
\nBuccaneers 121-118-1
\nPanthers 124-116<\/p>\n

Strength of Schedule after the above scenario<\/strong><\/p>\n

Jets 125-121-2
\nBills 119-126-2
\nTitans 125-121
\nCardinals 134-107-4
\nBrowns 121-123
\nPanthers with loss 129-119
\nBuccaneers with loss 126-121-1<\/p>\n

Remaining games and their impact on Strength of Schedule<\/strong><\/p>\n

Ravens at Bengals
\nBrowns 2-2<\/p>\n

Bears at Lions
\nTitans 1-1
\nCardinals 1-1
\nPanthers 1-0\/0-1<\/p>\n

Texans at Colts
\nJets 1-1
\nBills 1-1
\nTitans 2-2
\nBrowns 0-1\/1-0<\/p>\n

Eagles at Giants
\nCardinals 1-0\/0-1
\nBrowns 1-1
\nPanthers 1-1
\nBuccaneers 1-1<\/p>\n

Chiefs at Broncos
\nBills 1-0\/0-1
\nBrowns 1-1
\nPanthers 1-1
\nBuccaneers 1-1<\/p>\n

Packers at Vikings
\nTitans 1-1
\nCardinals 1-1
\nBuccaneers 0-1\/1-0<\/p>\n

Dolphins at Patriots
\nJets 2-2
\nBills 2-2
\nTitans 1-1
\nCardinals 1-1<\/p>\n

Rams at Seahawks
\nJets 1-1
\nBills 1-1
\nCardinals 2-2
\nPanthers 0-1\/1-0
\nBuccaneers 1-0\/0-1<\/p>\n

Cowboys at Redskins
\nBrowns 1-1
\nPanthers 1-1
\nBuccaneers 1-1<\/p>\n

Best case scenario
\nChiefs win
\nColts win
\nEagles win
\nRams or Vikings win<\/p>\n

SOS after all games are played with best case scenario
\nJets 129-125-2 or 130-126
\nBills 124-130-2 or 125-131
\nTitans 130-126
\nCardinals 140-112-4 or 142-114
\nBrowns 127-128
\nPanthers in worst case scenario 132-124
\nBuccaneers if both Rams & Vikings win 131-124-1
\nBuccaneers if only Rams or Vikings win 130-125-1<\/p>\n

After that the Jets and Titans are tied for the 8th pick after both Buffalo and the Browns beat them out on SOS and the Jets would win the tiebreaker based on having the worse conference record (4-8 vs. 5-7). The Chargers would easily finish with a worse SOS so they can’t lose against the Raiders if the Jets want to get the #8 pick. The Panther can lose and won’t impact the Jets chances. The Buccaneers can lose but the Rams or Vikings have to win or else they would edge out the Jets by a half game.<\/p>\n

To recap the only scenario in which the Jets can get the 8th pick if the following occurs:<\/p>\n

Jets lose
\nBrowns win
\nTitans win
\nCardinals win
\nBuccaneers win
\nChargers win
\nChiefs win
\nColts win
\nEagles win<\/p>\n

or<\/p>\n

Jets lose
\nBrowns win
\nTitans win
\nCardinals win
\nChargers win
\nChiefs win
\nColts win
\nEagles win
\nRams\/Vikings win<\/p>\n

Moving on to the worst case scenario, if the Jets win and with some help the worst they can do is be in a 5-way tie for the 16th pick.<\/p>\n

The scenario<\/p>\n

Jets win
\nSteelers lose
\nDolphins lose
\nSaints lose
\nBuccaneers lose<\/p>\n

If the above happens then the Jets, Dolphins, Steelers, Panthers, & Saints would be tied at 7-9. The Chargers can also finish at 7-9 but the Chargers can’t beat the Jets in SOS so they won’t be a factor aside from their winning the game.<\/p>\n

Current SOS<\/p>\n

Jets 120-118-2
\nDolphins 118-120-2
\nSteelers 115-125
\nChargers 110-130
\nSaints 124-115-1
\nPanthers 124-116<\/p>\n

SOS after the above scenario<\/p>\n

Jets 122-123-2
\nDolphins 122-122-2
\nSteelers 118-125
\nChargers 114-133
\nSaints 128-117-1
\nPanthers 126-120<\/p>\n

Remaining games and their impact on SOS<\/p>\n

Raiders at Chargers
\nJets 0-1\/1-0
\nDolphins 1-0\/0-1
\nSteelers 1-1
\nChargers 2-0\/0-2
\nSaints 1-1
\nPanthers 1-1<\/p>\n

Ravens at Bengals
\nDolphins 0-1\/1-0
\nSteelers 2-2
\nChargers 1-1<\/p>\n

Jaguars at Titans
\nJets 1-1
\nDolphins 1-1
\nSteelers 0-1\/1-0
\nChargers 0-1\/1-0<\/p>\n

Bears at Lions
\nPanthers 1-0\/0-1<\/p>\n

Texans at Colts
\nJets 1-1
\nDolphins 1-1<\/p>\n

Eagles at Giants
\nSteelers 1-1
\nPanthers 1-1
\nSaints 1-1<\/p>\n

Chiefs at Broncos
\nSteelers 1-1
\nChargers 2-2
\nPanthers 1-1
\nSaints 1-1<\/p>\n

Packers at Vikings
\nSaints 1-0\/0-1<\/p>\n

Rams at Seahawks
\nJets 1-1
\nDolphins 1-1
\nPanthers 0-1\/1-0<\/p>\n

Cardinals at 49ers
\nJets 1-1
\nDolphins 1-1
\nSaints 0-1\/1-0<\/p>\n

Cowboys at Redskins
\nSteelers 1-1
\nPanthers 1-1
\nSaints 1-1<\/p>\n

Best case scenario
\nChargers win
\nRavens win
\nJaguars win
\nLions win
\nVikings win
\nRams win
\nCardinals win<\/p>\n

SOS after best case scenario
\nJets 127-127-2
\nDolphins 126-128-2
\nSteelers 124-132
\nChargers 117-139
\nSaints 132-123-1
\nPanthers 130-126<\/p>\n

What we’ve learned here is that it would be better off for the Saints to beat the Panthers as the Jets would lose to both of them in the event of a tie so for the actual worst case scenario the Jets would have to want the Saints to win to only be bumped up 1 spot rather than 2 spots. The Buccaneers also have to lose, otherwise they too would also finish ahead of the Jets in SOS as they would finish 3 games ahead of the Jets in my calculations.
\nSo to sum it up the worst case scenario for the Jets is as follows:<\/p>\n

Jets win
\nDolphins lose
\nSteelers lose
\nChargers win
\nSaints win
\nBuccaneers lose
\nRavens win<\/p>\n

If that happens then the Jets would be in a 4-way tie for the 15th pick which the Jets would lose to all 3 teams in and get the worst pick possible.<\/p>\n

So in conclusion, the Jets as of today can get any pick between the 8th and the 15th pick.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

After the loss to the San Diego Chargers I am starting to think the Jets want to get the highest pick that they can and so far that would put them into a 5-way tie for the 6th pick in the draft. This scenario involves 7 games. The scenario Jets lose Browns win Titans win […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":23,"featured_media":17018,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":false,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2}},"categories":[3,6,1337],"tags":[],"class_list":{"0":"post-17262","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-nfl-draft","8":"category-featured-editorials","9":"category-home-slider"},"acf":[],"jetpack_publicize_connections":[],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"https:\/\/miletestsite.com\/jets\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/12\/NFL_Shield_mark_rgb.jpg","jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"jetpack_shortlink":"https:\/\/wp.me\/peLffi-4uq","jetpack_likes_enabled":true,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/miletestsite.com\/jets\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/17262","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/miletestsite.com\/jets\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/miletestsite.com\/jets\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/miletestsite.com\/jets\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/23"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/miletestsite.com\/jets\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=17262"}],"version-history":[{"count":7,"href":"https:\/\/miletestsite.com\/jets\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/17262\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":17273,"href":"https:\/\/miletestsite.com\/jets\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/17262\/revisions\/17273"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/miletestsite.com\/jets\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/17018"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/miletestsite.com\/jets\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=17262"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/miletestsite.com\/jets\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=17262"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/miletestsite.com\/jets\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=17262"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}